RANCANG BANGUN APLIKASI PERAMALAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
نویسندگان
چکیده
Inflasi di Indonesia setiap tahun mengalami fluktuasi yang sangat signifikan. Data lima terakhir adalah sebagai berikut 3.02%, 3.61%, 3.13%, 2.72%, 1.68%. Tentunya banyak faktor menyebabkan naik dan turunnya tingkat inflasi tersebut. Berdasarkan data diambil dari 2001 sampai 2020, diramalkan selanjutnya. Banyak metode digunakan dalam peramalan data. Salah satu tersebut Exponential Smoothing. Untuk pada jurnal ini menggunakan Single Dengan nilai parameter tertentu Indikator pemilihan paramater terbaik dengan MSE, MAD, MAPE. perhitungan diperoleh Smoothing alpha 0.3 menghasilkan MSE terkecil. Bentuk persamaannya , = 14.89, MAD 2.92 MAPE 58.61, serta prediksi 2021 3.11%.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Serunai
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2528-0775', '2621-2676']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.37755/sjip.v6i2.334